| Top of the page shows population now and small growth under the Comprehensive Plan. | |||||||||||
| "Partial Buildout" shows vastly bigger growth under the draft Zoning Ordinance. | |||||||||||
| 1. Projected Population | click for | excel file | Homes, July 2006 (Census) | People, July 2006 (Census) | |||||||
| Cities | 4,981 | 10,403 | |||||||||
| Now, existing, outside cities | 16,143 | 40,040 | |||||||||
| Total County, includes cities | 21,124 | 50,443 | |||||||||
| Annual growth rate (Comprehensive Plan p.112) | 1.5% | 1.5% | |||||||||
| Total growth during | 10 | years, | 1.5% | growth per year (change blue numbers & see result) | 3,391 | 8,098 | |||||
| County total after the above growth, includes cities | 24,515 | 58,541 | |||||||||
| 2. Partial Buildout | Acres | % of County | Homes Authorized per Acre, after Open Space, Natural Resources | Further Buildout as % of Authorized | Additional Homes, at Percent Buildout Shown at Right | Additional Accessory or Institutional Units Projected per Acre | Additional Accessory or Institutional Units | Total Additional Units | Population, at Ratio Shown at Right | Ratio of People to Homes: | |
| DRAFT DISTRICTS, 11/07 draft | (from table 4) | (assumed) | (calc) | (assumed) | (calc) | (calc) | (calc) | ||||
| Cities | 9,360 | 7% | 6 | 50% | 28,081 | 28,081 | 58,688 | 2.09 | in cities (based on Census 2000) | ||
| Government, outside cities | 11,753 | 9% | 0 | ||||||||
| Agriculture | 74,770 | 55% | 0.23 | 80% | 13,951 | 0.10 | 7,477 | 21,428 | 45,813 | Outside Cities | |
| Countryside | 6,922 | 5% | 0.35 | 20% | 491 | 0.10 | 692 | 1,183 | 2,255 | 2.48 | in basic units (based on Census 2006) |
| Estate | 12,634 | 9% | 0.67 | 20% | 1,690 | 0.10 | 1,263 | 2,953 | 6,086 | 1.5 | in accessory units |
| Residential | 8,659 | 6% | 2.46 | 20% | 4,253 | 0.25 | 2,165 | 6,418 | 13,794 | ||
| Townscape | 0 | 0% | 12.35 | ||||||||
| Village Conservation | 882 | 1% | 1 | 20% | 176 | 0.25 | 220 | 397 | 768 | ||
| Neighborhood Conservation | 4,630 | 3% | 50% | 1,216 | 0.25 | 1,158 | 2,373 | 4,751 | |||
| General Commercial | 761 | 1% | 0 | ||||||||
| Business Park | 4,911 | 4% | 0 | ||||||||
| Total growth outside cities | 21,776 | 12,975 | 34,751 | 73,467 | |||||||
| Existing outside cities (above) | 16,143 | 40,040 | |||||||||
| Total projected outside cities, includes existing | 50,894 | 113,507 | |||||||||
| Total growth including cities | 62,832 | 132,156 | |||||||||
| Existing, including cities (above) | 21,124 | 50,443 | |||||||||
| TOTAL, INCLUDES EXISTING | 135,283 | 83,956 | 182,599 | ||||||||
| Accessory units have 1 bedroom and are under 600 square feet (p.116), plus unlimited space with ceilings under 7 feet (p.253). "Institutional Residential" may have double density, with no limit on unit size (p.34). Condos count as institutions if they have a dining room or clinic (pp. 12, 34, 229). | |||||||||||
| Consultant agreed the proposals would overwhelm roads & other resources, but said any tighter controls on county density would be undermined by annexations. | |||||||||||
| Neighborhood Conservation is primarily on the mountain on tax maps CT21+23, HF12+13, K6-8. At last count (7/98) these maps had 1084 buildable lots, and 4041 unbuildable lots(www.listeners.homestead.com/files/BUILDABL.WPD). These are assumed buildable at a rate of a principal structure per 3 unbuildable lots. The buildout % shown is applied to this buildable total. | |||||||||||
| Other districts also have many unbuilt lots, as well as areas which can be subdivided at the new densities, which is why a 20% buildout is plausible. | |||||||||||
| Click | to read tables 3 - 8. Once you are in the excel spreadsheet, click tabs at the bottom of the window. | ||||||||||