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Top of the page shows population now and small growth under the Comprehensive Plan.
"Partial Buildout" shows vastly bigger growth under the draft Zoning Ordinance.
1. Projected Population			click for	excel file				Homes, July 2006 (Census)	People, July 2006 (Census)
Cities								4,981	10,403
Now, existing, outside cities								16,143	40,040
Total County, includes cities								21,124	50,443
Annual growth rate (Comprehensive Plan p.112)								1.5%	1.5%
Total growth during	10	years,	1.5%	growth per year (change blue numbers & see result)				3,391	8,098
County total after the above growth, includes cities								24,515	58,541
2. Partial Buildout	Acres	% of County	Homes Authorized per Acre, after Open Space, Natural Resources	Further Buildout as % of Authorized	Additional Homes, at Percent Buildout Shown at Right	Additional Accessory or Institutional Units Projected per Acre	Additional Accessory or Institutional Units	Total Additional Units	Population, at Ratio Shown at Right	Ratio of People to Homes:
DRAFT DISTRICTS, 11/07 draft			(from table 4)	(assumed)	(calc)	(assumed)	(calc)	(calc)	(calc)
Cities	9,360	7%	6	50%	28,081			28,081	58,688	2.09	in cities (based on Census 2000)
Government, outside cities	11,753	9%	0
Agriculture	74,770	55%	0.23	80%	13,951	0.10	7,477	21,428	45,813		Outside Cities
Countryside	6,922	5%	0.35	20%	491	0.10	692	1,183	2,255	2.48	in basic units (based on Census 2006)
Estate	12,634	9%	0.67	20%	1,690	0.10	1,263	2,953	6,086	1.5	in accessory units
Residential	8,659	6%	2.46	20%	4,253	0.25	2,165	6,418	13,794
Townscape	0	0%	12.35
Village Conservation	882	1%	1	20%	176	0.25	220	397	768
Neighborhood Conservation	4,630	3%		50%	1,216	0.25	1,158	2,373	4,751
General Commercial	761	1%	0
Business Park	4,911	4%	0
Total growth outside cities					21,776		12,975	34,751	73,467
Existing outside cities (above)								16,143	40,040
Total projected outside cities, includes existing								50,894	113,507
Total growth including cities								62,832	132,156
Existing, including cities (above)								21,124	50,443
TOTAL, INCLUDES EXISTING	135,283							83,956	182,599
Accessory units have 1 bedroom and are under 600 square feet (p.116), plus unlimited space with ceilings under 7 feet (p.253). "Institutional Residential" may have double density, with no limit on unit size (p.34). Condos count as institutions if they have a dining room or clinic (pp. 12, 34, 229).
Consultant agreed the proposals would overwhelm roads & other resources, but said any tighter controls on county density would be undermined by annexations.
Neighborhood Conservation is primarily on the mountain on tax maps CT21+23, HF12+13, K6-8. At last count (7/98) these maps had 1084 buildable lots, and 4041 unbuildable lots(www.listeners.homestead.com/files/BUILDABL.WPD). These are assumed buildable at a rate of a principal structure per 3 unbuildable lots. The buildout % shown is applied to this buildable total.
Other districts also have many unbuilt lots, as well as areas which can be subdivided at the new densities, which is why a 20% buildout is plausible.
Click	to read tables 3 - 8. Once you are in the excel spreadsheet, click tabs at the bottom of the window.

Last Updated on 11/26/2007
Email: buildout@SaveOurCounty.org