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1.
Projected Population |
Jefferson
County, WV |
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Homes, July 2006
(Census) |
People, July 2007
(Census) |
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Top of page
shows small growth under Comprehensive Plan. |
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Cities |
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5,325 |
11,121 |
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Now, existing, outside cities |
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15,962 |
39,711 |
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Total
County, includes cities |
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21,287 |
50,832 |
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Annual
growth rate (Comprehensive Plan p.112) |
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1.5% |
1.5% |
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Total growth in |
10 |
years, |
1.5% |
growth per year (change blue numbers & see result) |
3,417 |
8,161 |
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County
total after the above growth, includes cities |
24,704 |
58,993 |
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2.
Partial Buildout, 6/08 draft |
Acres |
% of County |
Homes Authorized per
Acre, after Open Space, Natural Resources |
Further Buildout as %
of Authorized |
Additional Homes, at
Percent Buildout Shown at Right |
Additional Accessory
or Institutional Units Projected per Acre |
Additional Accessory
or Institutional Units |
Total Additional Units |
Population, at Ratio
Shown at Right |
Ratio of People to
Homes: |
Rest of the
page shows vastly bigger growth under the draft Zoning Ordinance. |
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DISTRICTS |
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(from table 4) |
(assumed) |
(calc) |
(assumed) |
(calc) |
(calc) |
(calc) |
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Cities |
9,360 |
7% |
6 |
50% |
28,081 |
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28,081 |
58,688 |
2.09 |
in
cities (Census 2000) |
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Gov't,
outside cities |
11,753 |
9% |
0 |
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Agriculture |
72,896 |
54% |
0.23 |
80% |
13,601 |
0.10 |
7,290 |
20,891 |
48,446 |
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Outside
Cities |
|
Countryside |
7,000 |
5% |
0.35 |
20% |
496 |
0.10 |
700 |
1,196 |
2,635 |
2.49 |
in
basic units (based on Census 2007) |
|
Estate |
13,000 |
10% |
0.73 |
20% |
1,897 |
0.10 |
1,300 |
3,197 |
7,323 |
2 |
in
accessory units |
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Residential |
9,000 |
7% |
2.39 |
20% |
4,301 |
0.25 |
2,250 |
6,551 |
15,209 |
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Townscape |
1,000 |
1% |
4.39 |
20% |
879 |
0.25 |
250 |
1,129 |
2,688 |
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Village
Conservation |
882 |
1% |
2.38 |
20% |
419 |
0.25 |
220 |
639 |
1,484 |
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Neighborhood
Cons. |
4,630 |
3% |
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50% |
1,216 |
0.25 |
1,158 |
2,373 |
5,342 |
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General
Commercial |
761 |
1% |
0 |
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Business
Park |
5,000 |
4% |
0 |
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Total growth outside cities |
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22,808 |
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13,168 |
35,975 |
83,127 |
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Growth
in Population outside cities. (Estimates for 11/07 draft were 73,000 by
Burke, or 100,000 by County.) |
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Existing
outside cities (above) |
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15,962 |
39,711 |
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Total projected outside cities, includes existing |
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51,937 |
122,838 |
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Total growth including cities |
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64,056 |
141,815 |
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Existing,
including cities (above) |
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21,287 |
50,832 |
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TOTAL, INCLUDES EXISTING |
135,283 |
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85,343 |
192,647 |
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Accessory
units have up to 2 bedrooms and up to 750 square feet (p.116), plus unlimited
space with ceilings under 7 feet (p.250). "Institutional
Residential" may have double density, with no limit on unit size (p.34).
Condos count as institutions if they have a dining room or clinic (p. 223). |
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Consultant
agreed the proposals would overwhelm roads & other resources, but said
any tighter controls on county density would be undermined by annexations. |
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Neighborhood
Conservation is primarily on the mountain on tax maps CT21+23, HF12+13, K6-8.
At last count (7/98) these maps had 1084 buildable lots, and 4041 unbuildable
lots(www.listeners.homestead.com/files/BUILDABL.WPD). These are assumed
buildable at a rate of a principal structure per 3 unbuildable lots. The
buildout % shown is applied to this buildable total. |
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Other
districts also have many unbuilt lots, as well as areas which can be
subdivided at the new densities, which is why a 20% buildout is plausible. |
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to read tables 3 - 8.
Once you are in the excel spreadsheet, click tabs at the bottom of the
window. |
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